Concerns about a potential stock market crash in 2025 are growing, with bearish predictions circulating amid economic uncertainties. While extreme downturns are inevitable, timing them is challenging, and investors are advised to prepare by building cash reserves to capitalize on future buying opportunities. Historical examples show that reacting to predictions can lead to missed gains, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of the market.
GMO advocates for a permanent allocation to emerging-market debt (EMD), citing that credit spreads for risky assets generally compensate for credit losses. Despite recent challenges, including pandemic-related defaults and interest rate hikes, the firm believes valuations now warrant medium-term investments, particularly in hard and local-currency debt. GMO emphasizes the potential for alpha generation in EMD, questioning the choice of passive ETFs that often underperform benchmarks.
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